Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Fight for the Senate Still Very Much Up in the Air

By Stuart Rothenberg

The bottom line looks about the same in the fight for control of the Senate in November — but some of the pieces of the puzzle have moved around dramatically over the past few months.

Republicans need a 6-seat gain to take over the Senate next year. Three Democratic-held Senate seats continue to be headed to the GOP: Montana and open seats in South Dakota and West Virginia.

Most Democrats are pessimistic about all three, though some party insiders continue to hold out hope that appointed Montana Sen. John Walsh can close his early deficit against his Republican challenger, Rep. Steve Daines. If that should happen, of course, national Democratic money could flow into the race. But for now, Daines appears to have a clear advantage.

From that point on, things get a bit dicier for Republicans.

The next two most vulnerable Democratic seats are the same as they have been for more than six months: Arkansas and Louisiana.

(More here.)


Blogger Patrick Dempsey said...

counting our chickens again...

The GOP isn't going to win the Senate. The Democrats will delay key legislation until after the election and simply out-bribe the Republicans.

The Senate will remain safely in Democrat hands.

But, I don't even see the issue here. Obama acts regardless of Congress. So what difference does it make who controls Congress?

4:25 PM  

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