Democratic Party slipping among the young
Canaries in the Coal Mine
By THOMAS B. EDSALL, NYT
Over the past few decades, working class whites – loosely defined as those without college degrees – have been a strikingly reliable indicator of the strength of the two main political parties. These voters are highly volatile and their shifting loyalties are a powerful factor in determining control of Congress and of the White House, according to recently re-analyzed exit poll data provided to the Times by Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory, and Sam Best, a political scientist at the University of Connecticut.
Take a look at the fluctuating level of support white non-college voters gave to Democratic congressional candidates between 1984, when exit polls first asked respondents about their level of education, and 2010:
In effect, the white working class vote is a barometer.
(More here.)
Over the past few decades, working class whites – loosely defined as those without college degrees – have been a strikingly reliable indicator of the strength of the two main political parties. These voters are highly volatile and their shifting loyalties are a powerful factor in determining control of Congress and of the White House, according to recently re-analyzed exit poll data provided to the Times by Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory, and Sam Best, a political scientist at the University of Connecticut.
Take a look at the fluctuating level of support white non-college voters gave to Democratic congressional candidates between 1984, when exit polls first asked respondents about their level of education, and 2010:
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| Credit: Thomas B. Edsall |
In effect, the white working class vote is a barometer.
(More here.)
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1 Comments:
Don't worry, there will be an Obama sop to this constituency before the summer is out. Some free giveaway to 'young people' like free iPads for everyone up to age 26 still on their parents health care. And of course, each iPad will have unerasable recordings of Obama's speeches.
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