SMRs and AMRs

Wednesday, May 09, 2012

Democrats have real chance to hold on to Senate majority

By Paul Kane, WashPost, Updated: Wednesday, May 9, 8:20 PM

Republicans need to pick up four more seats to take control of the Senate, and they began 2012 with many plans for how to do so — none of which envisioned a battle to hold on to Indiana.

But Tuesday’s landslide victory in the GOP primary by Indiana state Treasurer Richard Mourdock, a staunch conservative who beat longtime Sen. Richard G. Lugar, gave Democrats hope for claiming a seat they have not seriously contested in three decades.

The sudden opening reflects a growing sense that the potential for big Republican gains has begun to ebb and that Democrats have a real chance of hanging on to their majority

“Eight months ago, I thought that Republicans had a 60 to 65 percent chance of taking the majority. Now, it’s a 50-50 proposition as to whether Republicans can take the majority,” said Jennifer Duffy, a longtime expert on Senate races who works for the independent Cook Political Report.

(More here.)

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