SMRs and AMRs

Sunday, April 27, 2008

The tides have 'turned'

from TPM Cafe
By Eric Bolton - April 24, 2008

Today I thought that, just for the fun of it, I would count the amount of delegates Hillary Clinton has won since she was "back in the race", meaning, since March 4th, with the Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont primaries/caucuses.

The numbers are quite alarming, in the sense that some people (including me) actually thought things were looking a bit better for Hillary. Take a look:

::March 4th:

-In TX primary/caucus, Obama won 99 delegates versus Hillary's 94
-In OH primary, Hillary won 74 delegates versus Obama's 67
-In RI primary, Hillary won 13 delegates versus Obama's 8
-In VT primary, Obama won 9 delegates versus Hillary's 6
-In total, Hillary won 187 delegates versus Obama 183

::March 8th:
-In WY caucus, Obama won 7 delegates versus Hillary's 5

::March 11th
-In MS primary, Obama won 20 delegates versus Hillary's 13

::April 22nd
-In PA primary, Hillary won 83 delegates versus Obama's 73

Now lets add it up.
Hillary:
187 + 5 + 13 + 83 = 288
and
Obama:
183 + 7 + 20 + 73 = 283
Which means that even if Hillary's campaign has been repeating over and over again that they were "back in the race" (and, I'll admit it, I was starting to think so too), they've only really netted 5 delegates. Publicity and Hillary's straight face throughout (unlike before the New Hampshire primary) added to this illusion.

(TM NOTE: One commentator noted that she's gained 5 pledged delegates and she's lost about 14 unpledged delegates. In summary, she's lost 9 delegates since then.)

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