SMRs and AMRs

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Is 'success' of U.S. surge in Iraq about to unravel?

Leila Fadel and Nancy A. Youssef
McClatchy Newspapers

last updated: March 24, 2008

BAGHDAD — A cease-fire critical to the improved security situation in Iraq appeared to unravel Monday when a militia loyal to radical Shiite Muslim cleric Muqtada al Sadr began shutting down neighborhoods in west Baghdad and issuing demands of the central government.

Simultaneously, in the strategic southern port city of Basra, where Sadr's Mahdi militia is in control, the Iraqi government launched a crackdown in the face of warnings by Sadr's followers that they'll fight government forces if any Sadrists are detained. By 1 a.m. Arab satellite news channels reported clashes between the Mahdi Army and police in Basra.

The freeze on offensive activity by Sadr's Mahdi Army has been a major factor behind the recent drop in violence in Iraq, and there were fears that the confrontation that's erupted in Baghdad and Basra could end the lull in attacks, assassinations, kidnappings and bombings.

As the U.S. military recorded its 4,000th death in Iraq, U.S. officials in Baghdad warned again Monday that drawing down troops too quickly could collapse Iraq's fragile security situation.

Pentagon officials said that military leaders are watching for any signs of backsliding as they consider whether to keep drawing down troops below pre-surge levels.

(Continued here.)

1 Comments:

Blogger Minnesota Central said...

This story has two elements – Baghdad and Basra.

Read just the last paragraph of the escalation in Baghdad …After a record low through November, when at least 76 people were killed and 306 were injured, the deaths began to rise. In December, it crept up to 88 people killed, in January 100 and in February 172. As of March 24, at least 149 people were killed and 448 were injured.

Basra is a power war between the Mehdi Army militia of Shi'ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr and Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council backed by the al Maliki government. Al Qaeda is not a force in the Basra region, so all the violence is purely internal. There are other reports on Reuters implying that this is an Iraqi effort as The British military said no British ground forces were involved in the operation, but warplanes from the U.S.-led coalition were carrying out aerial surveillance..
This conflict is a prelude to the October elections … the Sunnis may participate this time but the real battle will be how strong the al-Sadr movement is … al Maliki and his DAWA party and the SIIC don’t want Sadr in a power position.

9:52 AM  

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