Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Latest presidential poll

Qualifications, Consistency Help Clinton While Turnout Keeps Trump in the Hunt

ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2016 Election Update

Advantages on qualifications and consistency and help from an increasingly popular incumbent are aiding Hillary Clinton in the presidential race – but with weaknesses sufficient to keep Donald Trump well in the hunt in the campaign’s closing months.

Clinton has 46 percent support among likely voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with 41 percent for Trump, 9 percent for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2 percent for Jill Stein of the Green Party. Clinton’s 5-point advantage is within this poll’s margin of error, but it bears up in the context of consistent results among likely voters all summer.

Clinton takes a slight hit from the presence of Johnson and Stein; it’s a 51-43 percent contest (Clinton +8) in a two-way matchup with Trump alone. That occurs mainly because of defections by Bernie Sanders supporters: Clinton wins 92 percent of them one-on-one vs. Trump, but just 77 percent of them with Johnson and Stein in the mix.

(More here.)

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