Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Latest presidential poll

Qualifications, Consistency Help Clinton While Turnout Keeps Trump in the Hunt


Advantages on qualifications and consistency and help from an increasingly popular incumbent are aiding Hillary Clinton in the presidential race – but with weaknesses sufficient to keep Donald Trump well in the hunt in the campaign’s closing months.

Clinton has 46 percent support among likely voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with 41 percent for Trump, 9 percent for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2 percent for Jill Stein of the Green Party. Clinton’s 5-point advantage is within this poll’s margin of error, but it bears up in the context of consistent results among likely voters all summer.

Clinton takes a slight hit from the presence of Johnson and Stein; it’s a 51-43 percent contest (Clinton +8) in a two-way matchup with Trump alone. That occurs mainly because of defections by Bernie Sanders supporters: Clinton wins 92 percent of them one-on-one vs. Trump, but just 77 percent of them with Johnson and Stein in the mix.

(More here.)


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