GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show
HuffPost, Posted: 10/06/2013 7:11 am EDT
Shutting down the government may end up costing Republicans control of the House of Representatives.
A series of polls released Sunday show just how damaging the shutdown has been for the GOP. The liberal-leaning Public Policy Polling compiled two dozen surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, from House districts around the country, taken from Oct. 2 through Oct. 4. Sample sizes were between 600 and 700 voters in each district.
For Democrats to win a House majority, 17 seats would need to switch to their party's favor. Results show that would be within reach, as Republican incumbents are behind in 17 of the districts analyzed: CA-31, CO-06, FL-02, FL-10, FL-13, IA-03, IA-04, IL-13, KY-06, MI-01, MI-07, MI-11, NY-19, OH-14, PA-07, PA-08, WI-07. In four districts, the incumbent Republican fell behind after respondents were told their representative supported the government shutdown: CA-10, NY-11, NY-23, VA-02. Three districts saw GOP incumbents maintain their hold over their Democratic challengers, even after hearing their elected officials' views on the shutdown, including CA-21, NV-03 and OH-06.
Back in 2012, Democrats picked up eight seats in the House, closing the gap of Republican control to 234-201.
(More here.)
Shutting down the government may end up costing Republicans control of the House of Representatives.
A series of polls released Sunday show just how damaging the shutdown has been for the GOP. The liberal-leaning Public Policy Polling compiled two dozen surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, from House districts around the country, taken from Oct. 2 through Oct. 4. Sample sizes were between 600 and 700 voters in each district.
For Democrats to win a House majority, 17 seats would need to switch to their party's favor. Results show that would be within reach, as Republican incumbents are behind in 17 of the districts analyzed: CA-31, CO-06, FL-02, FL-10, FL-13, IA-03, IA-04, IL-13, KY-06, MI-01, MI-07, MI-11, NY-19, OH-14, PA-07, PA-08, WI-07. In four districts, the incumbent Republican fell behind after respondents were told their representative supported the government shutdown: CA-10, NY-11, NY-23, VA-02. Three districts saw GOP incumbents maintain their hold over their Democratic challengers, even after hearing their elected officials' views on the shutdown, including CA-21, NV-03 and OH-06.
Back in 2012, Democrats picked up eight seats in the House, closing the gap of Republican control to 234-201.
(More here.)



2 Comments:
Notice that they did not poll in Minnesota even though John Kline and Erik Paulsen have been targets for DCCC radio/Internet ads.
Tells me that the DCCC does not believe that Mike Obermueller or Tom Craft are serious challengers in MN-02 ... and Paulsen still does not have an announced candidate.
They list Steve King as having problems ... if Christie Vilsack, with that name recognition and national powers behind her in a Presidential year election, is it reasonable to think that he would be in trouble this time.
The poll is meaningless except as a way to solicit cash for campaigns ... I'm sure that Steve King has already sent out emails saying that he is in trouble and is being targeted, so donate to Steve King to keep the Socialists in check.
Why does the left care if GOP is in danger? I thing both 'parties' should be in danger.
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