SMRs and AMRs

Friday, November 02, 2012

'Turd Blossom' speaks ... again

Timid election campaign leaves no real winners

By Dana Milbank, WashPost, Friday, November 2, 6:57 AM

Karl Rove, the Republican political savant George W. Bush dubbed “Turd Blossom,” has an election-week tradition worthy of his nickname: He dumps a load of manure on the American public and watches to see if it will flower.

Like clockwork, this year’s shipment was delivered via the opinion pages of the Wall Street Journal, which on Thursday published Rove’s prediction that “sometime after the cock crows on the morning of Nov. 7, Mitt Romney will be declared America’s 45th president. Let’s call it 51%-48% with Mr. Romney carrying at least 279 Electoral College votes, probably more.”

Rove may be right — but only in the sense that a stopped clock is right twice a day. Let’s review his previous predictions:

In November 2000, two days before the election, he forecast that Bush would beat Al Gore by six percentage points and win 320 electoral votes; in reality, Bush lost the popular vote and got to 271 electoral votes only because the Supreme Court essentially awarded him Florida’s.

On the eve of the 2004 election, Rove predicted an easy victory for Bush, asserting that he was ahead in eight of 10 battleground states; on Election Day, Bush’s 286 electoral votes were only a slight improvement over 2000.

(More here.)

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