SMRs and AMRs

Thursday, January 12, 2012

Greenspan image tarnished by newly released documents

By Zachary A. Goldfarb,
WashPost
Published: January 12

The leaders of the Federal Reserve went around the room saluting Alan Greenspan during his last major meeting as chairman of the central bank Jan. 31, 2006. Then Timothy F. Geithner, at the time the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and now Treasury secretary, made a prediction.

“I’d like the record to show that I think you’re pretty terrific, too,” Geithner told Greenspan. “And thinking in terms of probabilities, I think the risk that we decide in the future that you’re even better than we think is higher than the alternative.”

Some six years later, Greenspan’s record — sterling when he left the central bank after 18 years — looks much more mixed. Many economists and analysts say a range of Fed policies contributed to the financial crisis and resulting recession. These included keeping interest rates low for an extended period, failing to take action to stem the bubble in housing prices and inadequate oversight of financial firms.

The Thursday release of transcripts of Fed meetings in 2006 shows that top leaders of the Fed — several of whom continue to hold key positions today — had a limited awareness of the gravity of the threat that the weakness in the housing market posed to the rest of the economy. And they had what turned out to be an excessive optimism about how well things would turn out.

(More here.)

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