SMRs and AMRs

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Wisc. Results Suggest Recall of Governor Would Be Close

By NATE SILVER
NYT

Close doesn’t count in elections — just ask Al Gore or Norm Coleman.

It appeared as late as midnight on Tuesday that Democrats had a chance to win the three seats necessary to give them control of Wisconsin’s State Senate in an unusual and expensive recall election. In the end, however, the Republican incumbent, Alberta Darling, surged passed the Democratic challenger, Sandy Pasch, as votes from suburban Milwaukee were counted. Democrats picked up two seats — but Republicans maintained a 17-to-16 majority.

Where margins of victory do matter, however, is when you’re making inferences about future elections from the results. Here’s what I wrote yesterday about Wisconsin, and the implications for Gov. Scott Walker, a Republican:

(More here.)

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home