There’s Room for More G.O.P. Candidates
August 22, 2011, 9:43 am
By NATE SILVER
NYT
Rather than douse speculation about which additional Republicans might enter the presidential sweepstakes, Rick Perry’s announcement that he would seek the White House seemed only to stoke the fire. At least five prominent Republicans — Sarah Palin, Representative Paul Ryan, Gov. Chris Christie, Rudolph W. Giuliani and George Pataki — are being linked to potential bids.
Some rumors are firmer than others: whereas Ms. Palin has said repeatedly that she is considering a presidential bid, Mr. Christie has denied his interest at every opportunity. And of course, that these politicians might seek the White House does not mean that their bids would succeed, or even necessarily lead to a respectable finish. Mr. Perry, who as governor of Texas has been an important player in Republican politics for a decade and has been laying the groundwork for a campaign for months, may have set an unrealistic example (and Mr. Perry’s campaign has been far from error-free).
But ignore that for a second. Suppose that these candidates all woke up one morning and found themselves surrounded by competent strategists, press handlers, pollsters and information technologists.
Suppose that they knew that the residents of Iowa and New Hampshire would not hold too much against them for entering the race so late. We won’t assume that they’ve already raised money — the election genie doesn’t grant every wish — but suppose that they could get a fund-raising network in place relatively quickly.
(More here.)
By NATE SILVER
NYT
Rather than douse speculation about which additional Republicans might enter the presidential sweepstakes, Rick Perry’s announcement that he would seek the White House seemed only to stoke the fire. At least five prominent Republicans — Sarah Palin, Representative Paul Ryan, Gov. Chris Christie, Rudolph W. Giuliani and George Pataki — are being linked to potential bids.
Some rumors are firmer than others: whereas Ms. Palin has said repeatedly that she is considering a presidential bid, Mr. Christie has denied his interest at every opportunity. And of course, that these politicians might seek the White House does not mean that their bids would succeed, or even necessarily lead to a respectable finish. Mr. Perry, who as governor of Texas has been an important player in Republican politics for a decade and has been laying the groundwork for a campaign for months, may have set an unrealistic example (and Mr. Perry’s campaign has been far from error-free).
But ignore that for a second. Suppose that these candidates all woke up one morning and found themselves surrounded by competent strategists, press handlers, pollsters and information technologists.
Suppose that they knew that the residents of Iowa and New Hampshire would not hold too much against them for entering the race so late. We won’t assume that they’ve already raised money — the election genie doesn’t grant every wish — but suppose that they could get a fund-raising network in place relatively quickly.
(More here.)
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