SMRs and AMRs

Friday, April 08, 2011

Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation Poll: America hates Trump

by David Nir for Daily Kos

Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos & SEIU (3/31-4/3, MoE: ±3.1, registered voters, no trendlines):

Q: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?

Favorable: 28
Unfavorable: 46
Not sure: 26

Q: If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

Barack Obama: 47
Donald Trump: 38
Undecided: 14

You may think The Donald is not a serious candidate, but lately he's received more media coverage than a supposedly legitimate candidate like former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty. Will he really run? Who knows—but we wanted to find out how he'd do in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup with President Obama. Of course, we don't hold a national election in the United States, but results like these are still meaningful, because it's very hard to win the presidency without a plurality of the popular vote. (Unless the Supreme Court does you a huge solid, of course.)

So it's a downright pleasure to see Trump not only getting crushed by Obama to the tune of nine points, but also to see his truly atrocious favorables. I doubt that any challenger can win the presidency with a negative 18 favorability rating from voters (especially not when the other guy is at +2). There is, however, one group that does love the bewigged former star of The Apprentice: teabaggers. They like Donald by a pretty nifty 49-18 margin, his best performance among any demographic group. That's not terribly surprising, given Trump's recent play to become America's Top Birther. But it is entertaining as heck to see self-described "Tea Partiers" cotton to the biggest d-bag billionaire around.

Me, I'm all for a Trump campaign. If we're lucky, he spends a bunch of money roughing up the other candidates and damaging whoever emerges with the nomination. And with numbers like these, maybe we'd be really lucky if that person were Trump himself. Because who wouldn't want to tell him, "You're fired!"

(The article is here.)

1 Comments:

Blogger Minnesota Central said...

Gallop has polled on Trump before including when he considered running for President under the Reform Party banner ...
Gallop's latest poll (http://www.gallup.com/poll/146987/Americans-Views-Trump-Favorable-Unfavorable.aspx) indicates Trump, with 43% saying their opinion is favorable and 47% holding an unfavorable opinion. Trump's public image is roughly the same now as it was in September 1999, but it slipped in October 1999 after the public starting looking at him more closely. The same will happen this time.

Yet, I don't agree with the authors view that this is good news for Obama ... Obama's favorablity is about 50% with 36% unfavorable and 14% neutral. While Trumps numbers are bad, it still shows that Obama is not getting all the people that view him favorably.
That said, remember the election is determined by the Electoral College ... show me Obama's numbers in Florida, Texas and Ohio and that will tell you who the winner will be.

8:10 AM  

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