SMRs and AMRs

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Study: Cell phones tilt polls

By: Molly Ball
Politico.com
November 22, 2010

This month's election results lent support to what many pollsters have long suspected: Polls that don't include cell phones favor Republicans.

And as more Americans come to rely on cell phones, the disparity is widening, according to a study released Monday by the Pew Research Center.

Pew’s surveys that included cell phones were dramatically closer to the actual midterm election results than they would have been without cell phones in the sample, according to the report.

A national Pew poll conducted days before the election found likely voters preferring a Republican to a Democrat for their representative in Congress by a 6-point margin when both land lines and cell phones were surveyed.

That margin closely matches the national vote for House candidates, according to the latest count: Republicans led by a 7-point margin.

(More here.)

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