SMRs and AMRs

Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Palin a net negative in Colorado

Obama expands Colorado lead

Raleigh, N.C. – A new Public Policy Polling survey finds Barack Obama expanding his lead in Colorado to 51-44. He was up by just a single point in a similar poll conducted two weeks ago.

A precipitous drop in Sarah Palin’s approval may be helping to fuel Obama’s gains. Immediately after the convention 41% of Colorado voters said that her selection made them more likely to vote for John McCain, compared to 38% who said it made them less likely to do so. Since then there’s been a 12 point drop in her net favorability. Now just 38% say that she makes them more likely to vote for the Republican, with 47% saying they’re less likely to do so.

“Barack Obama has greatly increased his lead with independents since we last polled Colorado,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “It seems like the more voters have learned about Sarah Palin the less they’ve liked her, and that’s allowed Obama to open up the largest lead he’s shown in a PPP poll of Colorado.”

Obama has opened up a one point lead with white voters while also holding a 21 point advantage with Hispanics. He leads with every age demographic except those voters over 65. There is a significant gender gap in the results, with Obama up 15 among women but trailing by two with men.

In Colorado’s race for the US Senate, Democrat Mark Udall continues to hold a healthy lead over Republican Bob Schaffer. Udall is now up 48-40. A PPP poll yesterday found the other Udall -- Tom -- with a 20 point lead in his quest for Senate from neighboring New Mexico.

(Continued here.)

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