SMRs and AMRs

Friday, May 09, 2008

‘Dream Ticket’ or ‘Nightmare Scenario’?

from The Carpetbagger Report
Posted May 9th, 2008

Periodically over the last several months, the notion of an Obama-Clinton — or a Clinton-Obama — Democratic ticket takes center stage. The candidates then dismiss the talk, the issue fades away, only to come storming back for one reason or another.

About two months ago, this was all the rage, when Clinton began publicly speculating about her willingness to consider Obama for her ticket, which seemed to annoy Obama more than a little. Now that the race for the nomination seems to be nearly complete, the notion of an Obama-Clinton pairing is once again on the front burner.

There’s no shortage of opinions on the subject out there — TNR has been running a series this week with some sharp speculative commentaries — but as for me, I not only don’t think it’s going to happen, I’m not even sure if it should.

Clinton has some tremendous assets and very strong appeal to a lot of voters. That said, I’m not sure her best attributes are unique to her. Clinton has done well with working-class whites, but I don’t doubt there are other good Dems who could do just as well, if not better. Clinton has some solid policy expertise, but there are others who are just as wonky, if not more so. Clinton has very strong appeal among women voters, but there are likely others whose appeal among women could be just as strong. Clinton is perceived as credible on foreign policy and national security, but I’m confident there are other Dems who are just as credible, if not more so.

She could conceivably help in New York, though Obama would be favored to win the state anyway. Her appeal would probably be strongest in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern states, but Obama is poised to do well there regardless.

But the Obama-Clinton really starts to fall apart when considering the intangibles.

(Continued here.)

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