Obama’s Magic Numbers
Forbes
TrailWatch
In recent weeks, Trailwatch has repeatedly discussed Hillary Clinton’s poor prospects for catching Barrack Obama in the delegate race for the Democratic nomination. It is starting to look like Obama can now win enough delegates, 2,024, to secure the nomination before the Democrats meet in late August.
As of today, our affiliate Real Clear Politics tells us that Barack Obama has 1,641 total delegates and Hillary Clinton 1,505. So let’s turn to the Forbes Delegate Counter and plug in poll projections for the remaining contests.
The biggest prize ahead is the April 22 contest in Pennsylvania, with 188 delegates at stake. RCP’s latest average of polls has Clinton ahead by nearly 8 percentage points in the Keystone State. Assuming this spread holds once the undecided voters make up their minds, Clinton would win 54% of the vote and 85 delegates to Obama’s 46% and 73 delegates.
(Continued here.)
TrailWatch
In recent weeks, Trailwatch has repeatedly discussed Hillary Clinton’s poor prospects for catching Barrack Obama in the delegate race for the Democratic nomination. It is starting to look like Obama can now win enough delegates, 2,024, to secure the nomination before the Democrats meet in late August.
As of today, our affiliate Real Clear Politics tells us that Barack Obama has 1,641 total delegates and Hillary Clinton 1,505. So let’s turn to the Forbes Delegate Counter and plug in poll projections for the remaining contests.
The biggest prize ahead is the April 22 contest in Pennsylvania, with 188 delegates at stake. RCP’s latest average of polls has Clinton ahead by nearly 8 percentage points in the Keystone State. Assuming this spread holds once the undecided voters make up their minds, Clinton would win 54% of the vote and 85 delegates to Obama’s 46% and 73 delegates.
(Continued here.)
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