SMRs and AMRs

Tuesday, August 22, 2006

Poll: Lieberman, Lamont running neck-and-neck

from CNN

(CNN) -- A new poll by the American Research Group indicated a statistical dead heat in the U.S. Senate race in Connecticut between upstart Democratic nominee Ned Lamont and incumbent Sen. Joseph Lieberman.

Some 44 percent of respondents deemed "likely voters" supported Lieberman, while 42 percent said they would vote for Lamont in the November election. This gap was well within the margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.5 percentage points. Republican nominee Alan Schlesinger got backing from 3 percent of likely voters. (Full results)

Late last week, Quinnipiac University released its own poll showing Lieberman with a healthy, double-digit lead over Lamont -- 53 percent of likely voters to 41 percent. (Full story)

The main difference between the two polls lay in the percentage of respondents who said that they were undecided: 2 percent in the Quinnipiac survey compared to 11 percent in the ARG poll, more than 5 times larger.

According to the ARG poll, some 65 percent of Democrats said they'd vote for Lamont, compared to 30 percent for Lieberman. Overwhelming support from Republicans -- who backed him 57 percent to Lamont's 18 percent -- propelled Lieberman.

(The rest is here.)

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